分析产品
ANALYTICS-PRODUCT — 用数据驱动决策
概览
产品分析 — PostHog, Mixpanel, 事件, 漏斗, 队列, 留存, 北极星指标, OKRs 和产品仪表盘。适用场景:配置事件追踪、创建转化漏斗、队列分析、留存分析、DAU/MAU、特性开关 (feature flags)、A/B 测试、北极星指标、OKRs、产品仪表盘。
何时使用此技能
- 当你需要该领域的专业协助时
何时不要使用此技能
- 任务与产品分析无关时
- 更简单、更具体的工具可以处理该请求时
- 用户需要通用协助而不需要领域专业知识时
工作原理
[对象]_[过去式动词]
正确: user_signed_up, conversation_started, upgrade_completed
错误: signup, click, conversion
Analytics-Product — 用数据驱动决策
> "我们相信上帝。其他人必须提供数据。" — W. Edwards Deming
---
Auri 核心事件
AURI_EVENTS = {
# 获取 (Acquisition)
"user_signed_up": {"props": ["source", "medium", "campaign"]},
"onboarding_started": {"props": ["step_count"]},
"onboarding_completed": {"props": ["time_to_complete", "steps_skipped"]},
# 激活 (Activation)
"first_conversation": {"props": ["intent", "response_time"]},
"aha_moment_reached": {"props": ["trigger", "session_number"]},
"feature_discovered": {"props": ["feature_name", "discovery_method"]},
# 留存 (Retention)
"conversation_started": {"props": ["intent", "user_tier", "device"]},
"conversation_completed":{"props": ["messages_count", "duration", "rating"]},
"session_started": {"props": ["days_since_last", "platform"]},
# 营收 (Revenue)
"upgrade_viewed": {"props": ["trigger", "current_tier"]},
"upgrade_started": {"props": ["target_tier", "trigger"]},
"upgrade_completed": {"props": ["tier", "plan", "revenue"]},
"subscription_canceled": {"props": ["reason", "tier", "tenure_days"]},
"payment_failed": {"props": ["attempt_count", "error_code"]},
}
Posthog 实现 (Python)
from posthog import Posthog
import os
posthog = Posthog(
project_api_key=os.environ["POSTHOG_API_KEY"],
host=os.environ.get("POSTHOG_HOST", "https://app.posthog.com")
)
def track(user_id: str, event: str, properties: dict = None):
posthog.capture(
distinct_id=user_id,
event=event,
properties=properties or {}
)
def identify(user_id: str, traits: dict):
posthog.identify(
distinct_id=user_id,
properties=traits
)
使用示例:
track("user_123", "conversation_started", {
"intent": "business_advice",
"device": "alexa",
"user_tier": "pro"
})
---
Auri 激活漏斗
访问落地页 (100%)
| [目标: 40%]
点击 "立即体验" (40%)
| [目标: 70%]
完成注册 (28%)
| [目标: 60%]
进行首次对话 (17%) <- AHA MOMENT (惊喜时刻)
| [目标: 50%]
次日留存 (8.5%)
| [目标: 40%]
每周使用 3 天以上 (3.4%)
| [目标: 20%]
转化为 Pro 用户## 优化漏斗---
同期群分析 (周留存)
first_session = events_df[events_df.event_name == "session_started"] \
.groupby("user_id")["event_date"].min() \
.dt.to_period("W")
sessions = events_df[events_df.event_name == "session_started"].copy()
sessions["cohort"] = sessions["user_id"].map(first_session)
sessions["weeks_since"] = (
sessions["event_date"].dt.to_period("W") - sessions["cohort"]
).apply(lambda x: x.n)
cohort_data = sessions.groupby(["cohort", "weeks_since"])["user_id"].nunique()
cohort_sizes = cohort_data.unstack().iloc[:, 0]
retention = cohort_data.unstack().divide(cohort_sizes, axis=0) * 100
return retention
## 留存基准 (语音助手)
| 周次 | 极差 | 一般 | 良好 | 优秀 |
|--------|---------|-----|-----|-----------|
| W1 | <20% | 20-35% | 35-50% | >50% |
| W4 | <10% | 10-20% | 20-30% | >30% |
| W8 | <5% | 5-12% | 12-20% | >20% |
---
定义 Auri 的北极星指标 (North Star)
北极星指标:WAC (Weekly Active Conversationalists)
定义:每周对话次数 >= 3 次且单次对话时长 >= 2 分钟的用户
第一年目标:10,000 WAC
第二年目标:100,000 WAC
## 北极星指标仪表盘def calculate_north_star(db):
wac = db.query("""
SELECT COUNT(DISTINCT user_id) as wac
FROM conversations
WHERE
created_at >= NOW() - INTERVAL '7 days'
AND duration_seconds >= 120
GROUP BY user_id
HAVING COUNT(*) >= 3
""").scalar()
return {
"wac": wac,
"wow_growth": calculate_wow_growth(db, "wac"),
"target": 10000,
"progress": f"{wac/10000*100:.1f}%"
}
---
使用 Posthog 实现功能开关 (Feature Flags)
if is_feature_enabled(user_id, "new-onboarding-v2"):
show_new_onboarding()
else:
show_old_onboarding()
## 统计显著性计算器from scipy import stats
import numpy as np
def ab_test_significance(
control_conversions: int,
control_visitors: int,
variant_conversions: int,
variant_visitors: int,
confidence: float = 0.95
) -> dict:
control_rate = control_conversions / control_visitors
variant_rate = variant_conversions / variant_visitors
lift = (variant_rate - control_rate) / control_rate * 100
_, p_value = stats.chi2_contingency([
[control_conversions, control_visitors - control_conversions],
[variant_conversions, variant_visitors - variant_conversions]
])[:2]
significant = p_value < (1 - confidence)
return {
"control_rate": f"{control_rate*100:.2f}%",
"variant_rate": f"{variant_rate*100:.2f}%",
"lift": f"{lift:+.1f}%",
"p_value": round(p_value, 4),
"significant": significant,
"recommendation": "Deploy variant" if significant and lift > 0 else "Keep control"
}
``
---
6. 命令
| 命令 | 操作 |
|---------|------|
|
/event-taxonomy | 定义事件分类法 |
| /funnel-analysis | 分析转化漏斗 |
| /cohort-retention | 计算同期群留存 |
| /north-star | 定义或审查北极星指标 |
| /ab-test | 计算 A/B 测试显著性 |
| /dashboard-setup | 创建产品仪表盘 |
| /okr-template | 产品 OKR 模板 |
最佳实践
- 提供关于项目和需求的清晰、具体上下文
- 在将建议应用于生产代码前进行审核
- 结合其他互补技能进行全面分析
常见误区
- 将此技能用于其专业领域之外的任务
- 在不了解具体上下文的情况下直接应用建议
- 未提供足够的项目上下文以进行准确分析
相关技能
growth-engine - 用于增强分析的互补技能
monetization - 用于增强分析的互补技能
product-design - 用于增强分析的互补技能
product-inventor` - 用于增强分析的互补技能
局限性
- 仅在任务明确符合上述范围时使用此技能。
- 不要将输出结果视为特定环境验证、测试或专家评审的替代方案。
- 如果缺少必要的输入、权限、安全边界或成功标准,请停止并请求澄清。