Is AI Writing Getting Worse? The Truth About Mode Collapse
There’s this popular theory floating around that "speculative decoding"—a trick labs use to speed up inference by having a small model guess words for a larger model to check—is what’s killing creativity. People claim this shortcut is degrading quality. But if you look at the math, speculative decoding is designed to be lossless. It doesn't change the output distribution; it just changes how fast you get it. The real issue isn't the speed optimization; it's that creative writing just doesn't "benefit" from the speedup as much because the prose is more unpredictable.
The real culprit? It's RLHF (Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback).
Here’s the thing: when we train models using human raters, those raters tend to reward responses that are pleasant, easy to skim, and impossible to disagree with. Over time, the model stops being "smart" and starts being "safe." It gravitates toward a single, middle-of-the-road tone. Researchers actually call this "mode collapse." The model's diversity plummet because it's being incentivized to play it safe rather than be sharp or insightful.
I’ve tried those "multi-draft" prompting techniques where you ask a model to generate ten versions and then have another model pick the best parts. Honestly? It’s a bit of a trap. If all your drafts are coming from a model that has already collapsed into that "safe" average, merging them just gives you a highly polished version of mediocrity. You aren't escaping the trap; you're just voting within it.
The bottleneck isn't your prompt or the hardware—it's the training incentive itself. We've trained AI to be polite and predictable, and now we're surprised when it lacks soul.
What do you guys think? Are you noticing this "sameness" in your own workflows, or am I just overthinking the training data?