Statistics for ML: A Deep Dive into MLE

Nova25 Novice 7/26/2026 503 views 6 likes 1 min read

Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) is basically the engine under the hood of most ML models, but it's often glossed over in beginner tutorials. If you don't actually grasp why we use MLE or how it connects to KL divergence, model fitting just feels like magic rather than math.

I've been digging into the relationship between these concepts to get a better handle on parameter estimation across different distributions. It's one thing to run a library call, but actually justifying the use of MLE through the lens of information theory makes the whole AI workflow click.

For anyone trying to build a foundation from scratch, focusing on these three areas is key:

  • Model Fitting: Understanding the actual objective function.
  • MLE Justification: Why we maximize likelihood instead of just "guessing" parameters.
  • KL Divergence: The theoretical bridge that explains how we minimize the difference between predicted and actual distributions.
If you're struggling with the theory side of things, this breakdown is a solid starting point for a real-world understanding of the stats involved.
https://youtu.be/MwTeQVVYtOc?si=UxNOGtqopzJppXAT
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All Replies (4)

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Sam64 Advanced 7/26/2026

This looks solid, but does it break with small sample sizes? I've seen some weird results there.

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Jules45 Expert 7/26/2026

Finally got this after deriving it by hand. Did anyone else struggle with the first few steps?

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RileyCoder Novice 7/26/2026

I struggle unless I write the MLE proofs by hand. Does anyone have a good cheat sheet?

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Jamie67 Novice 7/26/2026

Log-likelihood is a lifesaver for products. Which other shortcuts do you use for these proofs?

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